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| The DEBATE & TECHNICAL DISCUSSION AREA The place to "for & against" Rules & Regs - why the Building Inspector is a "Tool" - why can't I wire my house - all those usual rule debates. |  | | 
11th Nov 2009, 06:45 PM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by Rod Dyson I have been in logged forests both in Tasmania and Victoria that have been logged. If you didn't know it had been logged or if you didnt see the odd stump you would never know the difference. 500 years is a total exagerration.
. | It's a fact. We are talking about a forest ecosystem, not a plantation. Easy to take out, very hard or impossible to replace.
What were the species you saw in your expert inspection of these forests?
woodbe. | 
11th Nov 2009, 07:06 PM
|  | Golden Member | | Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Hobart
Posts: 597
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by Rod Dyson This to me is beyond any sense of reason. Co2 is NOT a polutant and is not a safety issue regardless of how much is leaked. We could not put enough C02 into the Ocean to do any harm no matter how hard we try. Take the moral high ground and collect the bucks. |
The science is not with you on this one, Rod. CO2 dissolves in water to make soda water, known to scientists as carbonic acid, H2CO3, from memory. Carbonic acid will attack calcium. CSIRO Marine Division in Hobart put out a paper about six months ago about the minute increases in CO2 in sea water being sufficient to weaken the shells of micro-shellfish, and they are now monitoring these effects. Those shellfish are only one tier above algae on the bottom of the food chain and eventually effect all sea life.
Cheers
Graeme | 
11th Nov 2009, 07:19 PM
| | | I didnt get back because I didnt see the point. Forrests are depleting, sure you can grow Radiata, but try for a descent piece of hardwood and thats like hens teeth. But its not just that. Man used to use picks and shovels for coal, now its giant dredges. More and more oil wells to supply cars gridlocked in an effort to drive to work with one driver. For a species, sorry we are starting to look a little bit silly. | 
11th Nov 2009, 07:27 PM
|  | Golden Member | | Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Hobart
Posts: 597
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe Seems you agree with the incumbents more than you would have us believe. "Alternative energy supplies cannot supply base load power"
Bunkum. | Woodbe, it is not polite to describe Rod's view as bunkum, even when he disagrees with you. Quote: |
I would like to cite a few examples of how base load power can be supplied by not burning fossil fuel. Probably no single one of these would do the job on it's own, but a sweet spot could be achieved by combining several of them.
| By definition, base load power is always available when needed. Quote: |
1. Wind Power is up to the task.
| Even when the winds not blowing! Quote: |
2. Solar thermal plant along the lines of those Australian technologies, developed in Australia by Australians, which had to leave the country because of a lack of support.
| Works great at night and on dull, rainy days. Quote: |
3. Solar PV. This Company has gone into production with a solar panel that can be printed using a high speed printing press. Once that starts to scale, can you imagine where PV prices are going to head?
| Their is a PV revolution every two or three years, but they never seem to get them out of the laboratory. PV products on the market have only improved marginally over the last 25+ years. Industry relies on massive government subsidies to survive. Quote: |
3. Hot Rock. Still looking promising, 24/7 operation.
| Physics is impressive but there are still massive chemical and metalurgy problems to solve. Trace chemicals plus heat leads to rapid electrolysis of metal machinery and piping. Quote: |
4. We haven't even started to look at waves and tides yet.
| There are some extremely high tides in the Kimberlies so let's dam a few bays and install tidal power stations like the French and Canadians have done. Will you write the environmental impact study and husband it throgh the political process?
Wave power is great at the laboratory level, a little more difficult to translate into commercial reality. Quote:
There is no energy shortage, there are plenty of ways of getting off carbon. .
| Classical economics agrees with you, Woodbe. Energy supply is a function of price. Incease the price sufficiently and people will make the energy. It might mean that wheat is diverted from making flour into making ethanol, but if people want to eat then they will pay the price!
Cheers
Graeme | 
11th Nov 2009, 08:35 PM
| | quality + reliability | | Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Melbourne
Posts: 1,976
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe What were the species you saw in your expert inspection of these forests? (/sarc)
woodbe. | Do I need to be an expert to make a reasonable observation?
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11th Nov 2009, 09:40 PM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook Woodbe, it is not polite to describe Rod's view as bunkum, even when he disagrees with you. | I was describing the incumbent's position and pointing out that Rod disagrees with them everywhere else. If the cap fits wear it I guess. Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook By definition, base load power is always available when needed.
[..]
Even when the winds not blowing!
[..]
Works great at night and on dull, rainy days. | This is a technology problem. Spain pumps water into their hydro dams using excess power, Ausra have a plan for heated saline storage, lots of solutions to a problem that is solvable. Not as easy as running a coal powerstation and leaving the lights on all night I guess. Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook Their is a PV revolution every two or three years, but they never seem to get them out of the laboratory. PV products on the market have only improved marginally over the last 25+ years. Industry relies on massive government subsidies to survive. | Graeme, this is a technology in production in commercial quantities Now. Not a lab experiment failing to reach market like the sliver tech that Origin has and continues to develop but maybe never making to market. (or arriving when the rest of the market has moved to the next level at 10% of the price. Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook Physics is impressive but there are still massive chemical and metalurgy problems to solve. Trace chemicals plus heat leads to rapid electrolysis of metal machinery and piping. | So you predict it's demise? Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook There are some extremely high tides in the Kimberlies so let's dam a few bays and install tidal power stations like the French and Canadians have done. Will you write the environmental impact study and husband it throgh the political process?
Wave power is great at the laboratory level, a little more difficult to translate into commercial reality. | I was asked to demonstrate. These are the current technologies and I offered wave/tidal as an untouched possibility. Who said it _had_ to be in the Kimberly? Quote:
Originally Posted by GraemeCook Classical economics agrees with you, Woodbe. Energy supply is a function of price. Incease the price sufficiently and people will make the energy. It might mean that wheat is diverted from making flour into making ethanol, but if people want to eat then they will pay the price! | It's called change. You can embrace it, or you can fight it. It will happen anyway.
woodbe. | 
11th Nov 2009, 09:47 PM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by Rod Dyson Do I need to be an expert to make a reasonable observation? | But you are presenting your views as superior. You described my views as 'a lot of guff'
The point is that the plantation forest replaces a diverse mix of species with an enforced monoculture with less of that stuff you don't believe to be important, and a huge release of that same stuff in the process.
And in Tasmania, 500 years is realistic for re-emergence of temperate rainforest. That is, if it can.
woodbe. | 
11th Nov 2009, 10:23 PM
| | Senior Member | | Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: nsw
Posts: 244
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe
And in Tasmania, 500 years is realistic for re-emergence of temperate rainforest. That is, if it can.
woodbe. | And who in their right mind has ever clear felled a tasmanian temperate rainforest in modern history, a few have been drowned & selectively logged for the valuable species of timber. But you would be confusing the ash forests which have a natural cycle of being burnt to a cinder every couple of hundred years after a wildfire then having to regenerate fresh all over again.
regards inter | 
11th Nov 2009, 10:47 PM
| | quality + reliability | | Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Melbourne
Posts: 1,976
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe But you are presenting your views as superior. You described my views as 'a lot of guff'
The point is that the plantation forest replaces a diverse mix of species with an enforced monoculture with less of that stuff you don't believe to be important, and a huge release of that same stuff in the process.
And in Tasmania, 500 years is realistic for re-emergence of temperate rainforest. That is, if it can.
woodbe. | Woodbe, when I consider my views are correct and yours are wrong of course I consider my view superior to yours. As you present yours as superior to mine  If you present evidence that will change my mind I will change my mind.
So far you havent been able to accomplish that. Mainly due to the fact your opinions start with the belief that C02 is the the cause of global warming and we must reduce emissions to prevent a global disaster. You have not proved this premise.
Meanwhile I am happy for you hold your views and express them here for me to respond to. I dont even want to try and change your opinion, I appreciate the opportunity to respond so this whole debate gets some air. Others can form their own opinions from what they read.
The crux of the matter is that the AGW theory is only an unproven theory. All else stems from the unwavering belief that this theory is true. It is a belief and nothing more, some liken it to a relgious belief. It is this unwavering belief that refuses to enter into any debate, or accept it that it may be wrong, that will be its undoing. People thankfully are starting to wake up to this. In my view debates like this help expose this. That is why Al Gore refuses to get into a debate over the science.
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11th Nov 2009, 11:54 PM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by intertd6 And who in their right mind has ever clear felled a tasmanian temperate rainforest in modern history, a few have been drowned & selectively logged for the valuable species of timber. But you would be confusing the ash forests which have a natural cycle of being burnt to a cinder every couple of hundred years after a wildfire then having to regenerate fresh all over again.
regards inter | The reason we know how long it takes rainforest to regenerate is largely because of wildfire events in the distant past that have been studied in the present. If a rainforest burned to a cider every 200 years it would cease to exist.
As for the 'who in their right mind' Quote:
The predominant current logging operation in rainforest in NW Tasmania is clearfell,
followed by replacement with plantations. Those operations that are 'selective'
are virtually indistinguishable from clearfell operations - they leave only a
handful of trees which subsequently die from 'myrtle wilt'.
| ACF - The Tarkine in Brief
This is not ancient history. Spend a bit of time on google maps and you can see where it has been happening.
woodbe. | 
12th Nov 2009, 02:00 AM
| | quality + reliability | | Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Melbourne
Posts: 1,976
| | Here is a nicely packaged article that says it all. Rudd scores an own-goal by saying we are deniers “who do not accept the scientific consensus”. Hell no we don’t. We stand by Galileo, Aristotle and Einstein. We demand evidence, and not just opinions. This calling to “consensus” is the stuff of tribal witchdoctors. Chief Kevin and the council of crows say storms are coming, the Gods are angry. We must pay them in barnacles to ward off the wind! For a hundred thousand years people have invented crises in order to scare their followers into submission. Rudd drags us back to the stone age.
Full article here. Global Bully Rudd fights for foreign committee, against citizens « JoNova
Now for a bit of balance read this (if you can stomach it) Here’s how the public can come to know the truth about climate: repetition. Learning and comprehension require repetition. Think about repetition being used to learn multiplication tables, or in advertising, or in political campaigns, etc. Certainly dire climate explanations require even more repetition because it is difficult emotionally as well as cognitively. But we haven’t yet even begun to tell that story, we are so spooked by our own reactions and what we think others’ reactions will be.
Full article here http://www.grist.org/article/2009-11...nd-they-are-us
This guy if a huge asset to us that are skeptical of the force fed, shakey science being fed to us by the UN.
__________________ Do not use fibreglass mesh tape on butt joins, ceiling joins or fibre cement sheet products EVER GREAT PLASTERING TIPS AT | 
12th Nov 2009, 08:38 AM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe So, what you seem to be saying here Rod, is that all the climate scientists who agree with AGW in one form or another are all so morally bankrupt as to put a research grant before the truth.
That's a particularly depressing world view you have taken on, but putting that aside for one moment, if these scientists are so easily swayed by a few bucks, why are you so sure that there are no bucks flowing to the anti-AGW scientists. After all, you don't need much imagination to see examples of corporations who have lots of cash and interests in keeping the status quo...
woodbe. | Still waiting for your take on this one Rod...
woodbe. | 
12th Nov 2009, 09:02 AM
| | Gone Feral | | Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Adelaide
Posts: 808
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by Rod Dyson Now for a bit of balance read this (if you can stomach it) Here’s how the public can come to know the truth about climate: repetition. Learning and comprehension require repetition. Think about repetition being used to learn multiplication tables, or in advertising, or in political campaigns, etc. Certainly dire climate explanations require even more repetition because it is difficult emotionally as well as cognitively. But we haven’t yet even begun to tell that story, we are so spooked by our own reactions and what we think others’ reactions will be.
Full article here We have met the deniers, and they are us | Grist
This guy if a huge asset to us that are skeptical of the force fed, shakey science being fed to us by the UN. | We agree on something here Rod! I'm wondering if you read the whole article? Quote: |
Originally Posted by Adam Sacks Even though we’re believers, not skeptics, our denial is far more insidious and subtle. So subtle, in fact, that we’ve managed to convince ourselves that we’re not in denial at all. Quite the opposite. Why, the thought is too absurd even to contemplate.
But it’s true.
We’re deniers every time we say “80 percent by 2050,” or even “80 percent by 2020”; every time we refer to tipping points in the future tense; every time we advocate substituting “clean” energy for “dirty” energy; every time we buy a squiggly light bulb or a hybrid vehicle; every time we advocate for cap-and-trade, or even a carbon tax; every time we countenance the mention of loopy geoengineering schemes; every time we invoke the future of our children and grandchildren and ignore the widespread suffering from global climate disruption today.
Every time we say these things and more, we’re promoting denial of dire climate reality, the reality that’s spinning out of our grasp so fast that we conduct our frenetic climate “solutions” efforts in a kind of stupor, obsessing with parts-per-million statistics, keeping desperately busy to ward off our own utter collapse borne of despair.
The reality we’re denying? We’re denying that we’ve put so much carbon into the atmosphere already that positive feedback loops are well on their way to amplification hell. [1] We’re denying that time lags between carbon emissions and their effects are frighteningly relevant, and that the disastrous effects we’re seeing now are from emissions of 30 years ago. We’re denying that non-linear responses of physical systems cannot be calculated and therefore are perilously ignored. We’re denying that our consumption and waste have far exceeded planetary capacity, possibly irreparably so. [2] | He's a huge asset all right, doesn't mince words either, does he?
woodbe. | 
12th Nov 2009, 11:02 AM
| | quality + reliability | | Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Melbourne
Posts: 1,976
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe We agree on something here Rod! I'm wondering if you read the whole article?
He's a huge asset all right, doesn't mince words either, does he?
woodbe. | He is a complete and utter fruitcake.
And yes I read the whole article.
I fail to see what we agree on there Woodbee.
__________________ Do not use fibreglass mesh tape on butt joins, ceiling joins or fibre cement sheet products EVER GREAT PLASTERING TIPS AT | 
12th Nov 2009, 11:21 AM
| | quality + reliability | | Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Melbourne
Posts: 1,976
| | Quote:
Originally Posted by woodbe So, what you seem to be saying here Rod, is that all the climate scientists who agree with AGW in one form or another are all so morally bankrupt as to put a research grant before the truth.
That's a particularly depressing world view you have taken on, but putting that aside for one moment, if these scientists are so easily swayed by a few bucks, why are you so sure that there are no bucks flowing to the anti-AGW scientists. After all, you don't need much imagination to see examples of corporations who have lots of cash and interests in keeping the status quo...
woodbe. |
Most of these grants are going to the scientist studying the effects of AGW base on the premise that AGW is in fact true. Rather than question the science behind AGW they simply assume its true thereby freeing their conscience to accept the grants. Most of them honestly believe they are doing the right thing.
There certainly are others who are riding the grants wave without any scuples.
As with governments who blindly accept the IPCC version of the science without question. This is great for Governments as they clearly have someone to blame if it all goes wrong.
The problem with this is that there are numerous credible peer review papers that outright proves the AGW theory is false. The governments put their fingers in their ears and go nah nah nah nah. They don't want to know, they have accepted the IPCC and puplic opinion a few years back. Now they are painted into a corner. Public opinion is rapidly going against them and their blind faith is making them look stupid in light of the new science that refute the theory. Their scapegoat is fading and they are looking very gullible indeed.
You do know the opposite of skeptic is gullible dont you?
What I am going to enjoy, is seeing how guys like our Slime Minister get away from AGW without looking totally stupid and gullible.
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